Big Ten championship: Can Ohio State upset top-ranked Michigan State?

There isn't much to recommend the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Big Ten Final against host and top seed Michigan State.
They finished third in the conference, but significantly behind Michigan State and Minnesota. They're currently ninth in the Pairwise, but Michigan State is second. They went just 1-3 against the Spartans in the regular season. Michigan State is 11-3-2 at home, and host this championship game. Michigan State has the better players at basically every position, and more depth. Both have already qualified for NCAA tournament berths, so they're playing for pride and, in Ohio State's case, seeding.
But! The Buckeyes are good enough that they cannot be written off, especially because they just knocked off the hottest team in the country, Penn State, in the conference semifinals. And
